6. Exit Signals
Trade Indicators
Use a Trend Indicator to exit from the trend. Adjust the Indicator Time Frame to suit the cycle being traded.
Example
Charles Schwab with weekly price bars and
7-day and
150-day
exponential moving averages.
- Entry [L] on 30 October 1998 at $10.13.
- Exit on Key Reversal at [K] on 15 April 1999 at $44.75.
- Remaining position stopped out at [X] on 25 May 1999 at $33.13.
- Price crosses below MA150 at [Y] on 14 June 1999 at $27.25.
- MA7 crosses below MA150 at [Z] on 4 August 1999 at $24.50.
If no stops had been activated, the position would have been closed either:
- At [Y] when price fell below the 150-day moving average; or
- At [Z] when the 7-day MA fell below the 150-day MA,
depending on the exit strategy.
Trade Summary
Entry [L] | October 30, 1998 | $10.13 |
Key Reversal [K] | April 15, 1999 | $44.75 |
Stopped Out [X] | May 25, 1999 | $33.13 |
Price crosses below MA150 [Y] | June 14, 1999 | $27.25 |
MA7 crosses below MA150 [Z] | August 4, 1999 | $24.50 |
Returns vary between 440 per cent and 240 per cent.
Note how important it is to exit at the right time in addition to timing the entry: the correction retreated to below $18.00.
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