6. Exit Signals

Trade Indicators

Use a Trend Indicator to exit from the trend. Adjust the Indicator Time Frame to suit the cycle being traded.

Example

Charles Schwab with weekly price bars and   7-day and   150-day exponential moving averages.

Exit Signal Example

  1. Entry [L] on 30 October 1998 at $10.13.
  2. Exit on Key Reversal at [K] on 15 April 1999 at $44.75.
  3. Remaining position stopped out at [X] on 25 May 1999 at $33.13.
  4. Price crosses below MA150 at [Y] on 14 June 1999 at $27.25.
  5. MA7 crosses below MA150 at [Z] on 4 August 1999 at $24.50.

If no stops had been activated, the position would have been closed either:

  • At [Y] when price fell below the 150-day moving average; or
  • At [Z] when the 7-day MA fell below the 150-day MA,

depending on the exit strategy.

Trade Summary

Entry [L] October 30, 1998 $10.13
Key Reversal [K] April 15, 1999 $44.75
Stopped Out [X] May 25, 1999 $33.13
Price crosses below MA150 [Y] June 14, 1999 $27.25
MA7 crosses below MA150 [Z] August 4, 1999 $24.50

Returns vary between 440 per cent and 240 per cent.

Note how important it is to exit at the right time in addition to timing the entry: the correction retreated to below $18.00.

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