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What's New !
October 11, 2005
This newsletter is for
educational purposes only and subject to Incredible Charts Terms of Use.
Searching for the Holy Grail (and Dealing with Losses)
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here to view the web page
Most traders are on the lookout for ways to improve their trading, but some
dedicate their lives to searching for the holy grail -- the perfect
indicator or trading system that will provide setups with a 100% success rate. Many
of them have been trading for years, and have tried and
tested a number of successful systems, but they seem to suffer from a short
attention-span. They drop what they are doing at the first opportunity and head
off after the latest fad.
Perfectionism and Avoidance
Perfectionists are often motivated
by avoidance: the need to avoid unpleasant emotional experiences. Traders
who seek the perfect system are also likely to be motivated by the need to avoid
unpleasant
experiences.
| Avoidance |
Imagine taking part in a game where participants are divided into two
groups, blindfolded and
asked to stick out their right hand.
The first group is given ten dollars each time they extend their hand.
They soon learn how to play the game and, no doubt,
enjoy
playing at every opportunity.
The second group is also given ten dollars, randomly, about 80% of the
time. The remaining 20% of the time, instead of being given a dollar, their hand is jabbed with a
pin. Most participants in this group are likely to quit fairly quickly --
they focus on the pain and ignore the reward. |
With trading losses, the only pain that
you will suffer is the emotional reaction to a loss -- often far
worse than being jabbed with a pin. If you focus on avoiding losses rather than on
maximizing your overall gain, you are unlikely succeed at trading.
Personality Types
A group of traders may all incur the same loss but suffer vastly different
emotional responses. A lot depends on their past experiences -- not only while trading but in the broader arena of life.
A-type Personalities
The more competitive you are, the more uncomfortable you are likely to be
about incurring losses. From an early age, many of us are programmed to
compete: to win; to accomplish; to be top of the class; to always be right;
and to
succeed at whatever we set out to do. Losses are equated with losing -- to be avoided at all costs.
Perfectionists
Not all perfectionists are A-type personalities. Many procrastinate, or avoid competing
altogether, to avoid failure.
Beginners
Newcomers to trading often start off with a string of positive experiences.
Unfamiliar with the basics of money management,
they are often over-confident and prepared to bet large amounts of their capital
in the expectation of further gains.
Traumatic Experiences
Past trauma affects how we view related experiences. A child who almost
drowns may be prone to developing a fear of water. Similarly, when hit with the "shock and
awe" of a major loss, many traders never recover. They quit trading
completely or spend their entire career trying to avoid a repeat of that negative emotional
experience.
Developing A Healthy Attitude Towards Losses
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Avoid chasing after the perfect system that promises to eliminate losses.
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Don't equate losses with failure. In fact, complete elimination
of losses should be seen as a failure -- you are likely to have eliminated most
of your gains as a consequence.
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Distinguish between
abnormal losses and the small losses normally incurred by any trading
system.
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Accept that small losses are an unavoidable part of trading -- and that you
will regularly incur them. They are as much a part of trading as are profits.
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Most successful traders, as Van Tharp (Trade Your Way To Financial Freedom) points
out, enjoy success rates no greater than 50%.
What they are able to do, however, is to restrict the size of their losses
while realizing substantial gains on their successful trades.
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Focus on the collective effect (maximizing your overall gain) rather than on
the impact of individual transactions.
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Practice sound money management
to restrict the size and frequency of your losses.
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We should be careful to get out of an experience only the wisdom that is in it - and stop there;
lest we be like the cat that sits down on a hot stove-lid.
She will never sit down on a hot stove-lid again, and that is well;
but also she will never sit down on a cold one anymore.
~ Samuel Clemens
Regards, Colin Twiggs
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